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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 19 February 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 19 February 2023. Lamia vs Olympiakos Piraeus (Olympiakos Piraeus or draw) led the list at 91% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 91%
Lamia
0 : 3 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 9%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany Union Berlin or draw 91%
Union Berlin
0 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 67%
Draw 24%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 90%
Barcelona
2 : 0 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Barcelona Clean Sheet 58%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 90%
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 86%
Sparta Praha
3 : 0 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 86%
SC Braga
2 : 0 FT
Arouca
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Heerenveen or draw 84%
Cambuur
1 : 2 FT
Heerenveen
Win 16%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Lorient or draw 83%
Lorient
3 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile O'Higgins or draw 83%
O'Higgins
0 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma or draw 83%
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 81%
Atalanta
1 : 2 FT
Lecce
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht or draw 81%
Kortrijk
2 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 54%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Heidenheim or draw 81%
1. FC Heidenheim
5 : 0 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC or draw 80%
Port FC
2 : 1 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 or draw 80%
FC Basel 1893
2 : 2 FT
Servette FC
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Bohemians 1905 or draw 79%
České Budějovice
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 79%
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 3 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy Lazio or draw 79%
Salernitana
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 21%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 55%
#19 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Lamphun Warrior or draw 79%
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 78%
Toulouse
2 : 3 FT
Marseille
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 19 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lamia vs Olympiakos Piraeus (Olympiakos Piraeus or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.