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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 13 November 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 13 November 2022. Feyenoord vs Excelsior (Feyenoord or draw) led the list at 93% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 93%
Feyenoord
5 : 1 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 91%
Benfica
3 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 12%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 90%
Paris Saint Germain
5 : 0 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 89%
Pardubice
1 : 1 FT
Plzen
Win 11%
Draw 23%
Win 66%
BTTS No 57%
#5 Premier League Β· England Brighton or draw 88%
Brighton
1 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 59%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 88%
Dynamo Kyiv
0 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 60%
#7 Super League Β· China Dalian Aerbin or draw 87%
Dalian Aerbin
1 : 1 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 53%
#8 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos or draw 86%
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
Atromitos
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 33%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 85%
Austria Klagenfurt
0 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 15%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 66%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 64%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Darmstadt 98 or draw 85%
SV Darmstadt 98
1 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil Cuiaba or draw 85%
Cuiaba
2 : 1 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Vitória SC or draw 84%
Vitória SC
1 : 0 FT
Maritimo
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg or draw 84%
Rosenborg
2 : 3 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway Tromso or draw 84%
Tromso
2 : 2 FT
Aalesund
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 83%
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 3 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 17%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 59%
#16 Superettan Β· Sweden Orgryte IS or draw 83%
Orgryte IS
2 : 3 FT
Sandviken
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#17 Eliteserien Β· Norway Kristiansund BK or draw 82%
Kristiansund BK
1 : 1 FT
jerv
Win 66%
Draw 16%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent or draw 82%
Kortrijk
0 : 4 FT
Gent
Win 18%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil Ceara or draw 81%
Ceara
4 : 1 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 64%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille or draw 81%
Lille
1 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 13 November 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Feyenoord vs Excelsior (Feyenoord or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.