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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 17 September 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 17 September 2022. FC Augsburg vs Bayern München (Bayern München or draw) led the list at 94% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 94%

Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 57%

Premier League · England Newcastle or draw 91%

Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Serie B · Italy Frosinone or draw 91%

✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Frosinone Clean Sheet 56%

La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Premier League · England Tottenham or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Super League 1 · Greece Panathinaikos or draw 86%

Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 56%

Süper Lig · Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

League Two · England Salford City or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Premier League · Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#10

League One · England Bolton or draw 84%

#11

Championship · England Middlesbrough or draw 84%

#12

League Two · England Sutton Utd or draw 83%

#13

Serie A · Italy Spezia or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#14

League One · England Exeter City or draw 82%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 63%

#15

League Two · England Leyton Orient or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#16

League Two · England Northampton or draw 81%

#17

Ligue 2 · France Sochaux or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#18

Serie B · Italy Reggina or draw 80%

Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#19

Süper Lig · Turkey Kasımpaşa or draw 80%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%

#20

2. Bundesliga · Germany SV Darmstadt 98 or draw 79%

Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 17 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Augsburg vs Bayern München (Bayern München or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.