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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 20 September 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Four matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 20 September 2022. Dalian Aerbin vs Hebei Zhongji (Dalian Aerbin or draw) led the list at 92% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies four of the top 4, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China Dalian Aerbin or draw 92%
Dalian Aerbin
2 : 1 FT
Hebei Zhongji
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 69%
#2 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns or draw 79%
Changchun Yatai
1 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 21%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#3 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 77%
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 37%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#4 Super League Β· China Wuhan Zall or draw 75%
Wuhan Zall
0 : 3 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 73%

Showing top 4 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 20 September 2022?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by Dalian Aerbin vs Hebei Zhongji (Dalian Aerbin or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.