Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β Sunday 22 May 2022
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 22 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Norwich vs Tottenham (Tottenham or draw) at 91% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
Premier League supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League Β· England
Tottenham or draw
91%
Serie A Β· Italy
Inter or draw
88%
Premier League Β· England
Liverpool or draw
86%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense or draw
85%
Premier League Β· England
Arsenal or draw
84%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen or draw
83%
Premier League Β· England
Manchester City or draw
83%
Premier League Β· England
Leicester or draw
83%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh or draw
82%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians or draw
82%
Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace or draw
81%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF or draw
81%
Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli or draw
80%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors or draw
80%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor or draw
79%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC or draw
79%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar or draw
79%
Serie B Β· Italy
Monza or draw
79%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
jerv or draw
78%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba or draw
78%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Double Chance β common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 22 May 2022?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Norwich vs Tottenham (Tottenham or draw) at 91% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.