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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 22 May 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 22 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Norwich vs Tottenham (Tottenham or draw) at 91% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Tottenham or draw 91%
Norwich
0 : 5 FT
Tottenham
Win 9%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 74%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 88%
Inter
3 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#3 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 86%
Liverpool
3 : 1 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 63% Liverpool Clean Sheet 53%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico Paranaense or draw 85%
Atletico Paranaense
2 : 1 FT
Avai
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 73% Atletico Paranaense Clean Sheet 61%
#5 Premier League Β· England Arsenal or draw 84%
Arsenal
5 : 1 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland FC ST. Gallen or draw 83%
FC ST. Gallen
4 : 0 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 83%
Manchester City
3 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Premier League Β· England Leicester or draw 83%
Leicester
4 : 1 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Fateh or draw 82%
Al-Fateh
1 : 2 FT
Al Taee
Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil Corinthians or draw 82%
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#11 Premier League Β· England Crystal Palace or draw 81%
Crystal Palace
1 : 0 FT
Manchester United
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 81%
Malmo FF
1 : 2 FT
BK Hacken
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 80%
Spezia
0 : 3 FT
Napoli
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#14 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Jeonbuk Motors or draw 80%
Suwon City FC
0 : 1 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 20%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 79%
Adana Demirspor
7 : 0 FT
Göztepe
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#16 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Jeju United FC or draw 79%
Jeju United FC
0 : 0 FT
Suwon Bluewings
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 79%
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy Monza or draw 79%
Monza
2 : 1 FT
Brescia
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#19 Eliteserien Β· Norway jerv or draw 78%
jerv
0 : 1 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#20 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Ittihad Kalba or draw 78%
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2 : 3 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 22 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Norwich vs Tottenham (Tottenham or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.