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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 14 March 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 14 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Raków Częstochowa vs Stal Mielec (Raków Częstochowa or draw) at 86% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 92%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 86%
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven or draw 84%
FC Eindhoven
1 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 84%
St Patrick's Athl.
2 : 0 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 56%
#4 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 82%
Crystal Palace
0 : 0 FT
Manchester City
Win 18%
Draw 22%
Win 60%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 82%
Moreirense
0 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 18%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 54%
BTTS Yes 54%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 82%
Mallorca
0 : 3 FT
Real Madrid
Win 18%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 81%
Başakşehir
0 : 1 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy Lazio or draw 80%
Lazio
1 : 0 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland Sligo Rovers or draw 79%
Sligo Rovers
3 : 1 FT
Finn Harps
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland Derry City or draw 79%
Derry City
2 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland Dundalk or draw 77%
Dundalk
0 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Giresunspor or draw 76%
Giresunspor
2 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 76%
Telstar
1 : 4 FT
NAC Breda
Win 24%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 13 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 14 March 2022?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Raków Częstochowa vs Stal Mielec (Raków Częstochowa or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.