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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 12 March 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 12 March 2022. Amiens vs Nancy (Amiens or draw) led the list at 91% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · France Amiens or draw 91%

Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 89%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 53%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Championship · England Fulham or draw 88%

Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%

Serie B · Italy Benevento or draw 88%

League One · England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 53%

Serie A · Italy Sassuolo or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

League One · England Sunderland or draw 86%

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 86%

#10

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 85%

#11

League Two · England Forest Green or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 64% Forest Green Clean Sheet 54%

#12

Premier League · Ukraine Dnipro-1 or draw 84%

#13

Serie B · Italy Frosinone or draw 84%

Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#14

Primera División · Chile U. Catolica or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#15

Serie B · Italy Monza or draw 84%

#16

League One · England Rotherham or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#17

Championship · England Blackburn or draw 83%

#18

Ligue 2 · France Paris FC or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#19

Primeira Liga · Portugal Pacos Ferreira or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#20

Championship · England Bournemouth or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 12 March 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Amiens vs Nancy (Amiens or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.