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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 2 March 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 2 March 2022. Frosinone vs Cosenza (Frosinone or draw) led the list at 83% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie B supplies three of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy Frosinone or draw 83%
Frosinone
1 : 0 FT
Cosenza
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 82%
Olympiakos Piraeus
5 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 68% Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Sion or draw 82%
FC Sion
1 : 0 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Zurich or draw 81%
FC Luzern
0 : 2 FT
FC Zurich
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy Pisa or draw 80%
Pisa
3 : 2 FT
Crotone
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 36%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy Monza or draw 77%
Monza
1 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Mallorca or draw 76%
Mallorca
0 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 2 March 2022?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Frosinone vs Cosenza (Frosinone or draw) at 83% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.