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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 13 February 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 13 February 2022. Monaco vs Lorient (Monaco or draw) sits top on 93% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco or draw 93%
Monaco
0 : 0 FT
Lorient
Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 72%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 90%
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 1 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK or draw 88%
PAOK
1 : 0 FT
Atromitos
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens or draw 86%
Lens
3 : 2 FT
Bordeaux
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 86%
Ajax
5 : 0 FT
Twente
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Sivasspor or draw 85%
Sivasspor
2 : 1 FT
Yeni Malatyaspor
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 33%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 73% Sivasspor Clean Sheet 61%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Schalke 04 or draw 85%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 : 1 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 15%
Draw 28%
Win 57%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Darmstadt 98 or draw 84%
Hannover 96
2 : 2 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 16%
Draw 30%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 84%
Waalwijk
0 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 16%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos or draw 84%
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 57%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 82%
Metz
1 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 57%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#12 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Chonburi FC or draw 81%
Chonburi FC
1 : 2 FT
Police Tero
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain Real Betis or draw 81%
Levante
2 : 4 FT
Real Betis
Win 19%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 54%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal GIL Vicente or draw 81%
Vizela
0 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 19%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC or draw 81%
Port FC
1 : 2 FT
Chiangmai United
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#16 Primera División Β· Chile U. Catolica or draw 81%
U. Catolica
2 : 1 FT
Union Espanola
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 80%
Burnley
0 : 1 FT
Liverpool
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 54%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda or draw 80%
VVV Venlo
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 20%
Draw 18%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 79%
Union St. Gilloise
0 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#20 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Zurich or draw 79%
FC Zurich
3 : 0 FT
FC Lugano
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 13 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Monaco vs Lorient (Monaco or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.