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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 11 February 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eleven fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 11 February 2022. The strongest reading belongs to ADO Den Haag vs MVV (ADO Den Haag or draw) at 88% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 91%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 88%
ADO Den Haag
2 : 3 FT
MVV
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 57%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam or draw 84%
FC Volendam
2 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 83%
Seraing United
0 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 17%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Holstein Kiel or draw 83%
Erzgebirge AUE
2 : 3 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 17%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 82%
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 0 FT
Rennes
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen or draw 82%
Almere City FC
0 : 0 FT
Emmen
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig or draw 79%
RB Leipzig
3 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Werder Bremen or draw 79%
Hansa Rostock
1 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 21%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain Sevilla or draw 76%
Sevilla
2 : 0 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Altay or draw 76%
Altay
0 : 0 FT
Rizespor
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 75%
Emirates Club
0 : 3 FT
Al Ain
Win 25%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 11 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 11 February 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by ADO Den Haag vs MVV (ADO Den Haag or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.