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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 13 December 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Monday 13 December 2021. AS Roma vs Spezia (AS Roma or draw) sits top on 81% in the Serie A.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma or draw 81%
AS Roma
2 : 0 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia FC Sochi or draw 80%
FC Sochi
3 : 0 FT
Spartak Moscow
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Arouca or draw 80%
Arouca
1 : 4 FT
Vizela
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Slask Wroclaw or draw 79%
Warta Poznań
2 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 54%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Sivasspor or draw 79%
Sivasspor
1 : 0 FT
Galatasaray
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Gaziantep FK or draw 78%
Gaziantep FK
3 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Granada CF or draw 77%
Cadiz
1 : 1 FT
Granada CF
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 13 December 2021?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by AS Roma vs Spezia (AS Roma or draw) at 81% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.