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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 8 May 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

35 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 8 May 2026. Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia led the list at 84% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
1 : 0 FT
Karpaty
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 0 FT
Kudrivka
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Kolos Kovalivka Clean Sheet 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 20%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
1 : 0 FT
AC Oulu
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Turku PS
1 : 0 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Polessya
2 : 1 FT
Oleksandria
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Ham-Kam
1 : 0 FT
Valerenga
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
2 : 0 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
0 : 3 FT
IK brage
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
3 : 2 FT
IFK Varnamo
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
0 : 0 FT
SJK
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
2 : 2 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 0 FT
Derry City
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
1 : 3 FT
Bohemians
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
1 : 3 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
4 : 1 FT
Waterford
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 2 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
1 : 1 FT
Arka Gdynia
Win 81%
Draw 11%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 3–1 Β· 8%
Serie B Β· Italy
Pescara
1 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie B Β· Italy
Avellino
1 : 0 FT
Modena
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Virtus Entella
2 : 1 FT
Carrarese
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Sudtirol
1 : 1 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 33%
βœ“ Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 14%
Serie B Β· Italy
Venezia
2 : 0 FT
Palermo
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cesena
3 : 4 FT
Padova
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Serie B Β· Italy
Reggiana
1 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Serie B Β· Italy
Monza
2 : 2 FT
Empoli
Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
5 : 0 FT
Mantova
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Catanzaro
2 : 3 FT
Bari
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
1 : 0 FT
Nantes
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
2 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liege
2 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Hull City
0 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Levante
3 : 2 FT
Osasuna
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%

Showing 35 of 35 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 8 May 2026?

35 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia at 84% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.