Sign in Register
πŸ”’

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 17 October 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

43 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 17 October 2025. Jong Ajax vs Jong PSV U21 led the list at 78% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 28%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 0 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Vitoria
2 : 1 FT
Bahia
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
3 : 4 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 32%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
3 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 58% Chengdu Better City Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 14%
Super League Β· China
Qingdao Youth Island
1 : 2 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 25%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 48%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
SK Poltava
1 : 2 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
2 : 0 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
1 : 3 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 23%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
5 : 1 FT
Al Najma
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
0 : 0 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Motor Lublin
2 : 5 FT
GKS Katowice
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 2 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 35%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hannover 96
0 : 3 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 34%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
2 : 3 FT
Willem II
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Boulogne
2 : 2 FT
Guingamp
Win 21%
Draw 22%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
1 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Estac Troyes
1 : 0 FT
Bastia
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Estac Troyes Clean Sheet 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
2 : 2 FT
Reims
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
0 : 1 FT
Annecy
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
3 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 4 FT
Vitesse
Win 41%
Draw 22%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
4 : 2 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
2 : 2 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 34%
Draw 20%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
3 : 1 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
6 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
4 : 0 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Olympic Charleroi
0 : 1 FT
AS Eupen
Win 9%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 74%
Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 1 FT
SK Beveren
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
3 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Widzew Łódź
3 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Virtus Entella
3 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 3 FT
Strasbourg
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 0 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
2 : 0 FT
Bohemians
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
3 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
1 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 35%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
2 : 1 FT
Ipswich
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
La Liga Β· Spain
Oviedo
0 : 2 FT
Espanyol
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
4 : 3 FT
Union La Calera
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%

Showing 43 of 43 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 17 October 2025?

43 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong Ajax vs Jong PSV U21 at 78% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.