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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 9 May 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 41 fixtures on Friday 9 May 2025. Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Utrecht led the list at 75% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 17%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
3 : 1 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
✓ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
0 : 0 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
0 : 0 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Motor Lublin
1 : 4 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 2 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Preußen Münster
2 : 0 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Ilves
3 : 2 FT
Haka
✓ Win 46%
Draw 21%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
1 : 4 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 25%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
0 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
4 : 2 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
✓ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 2 FT
Heracles
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
4 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
✓ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 4 FT
De Graafschap
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 FT
FC OSS
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
3 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
✓ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
0 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 34%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 41%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 0 FT
MVV
✓ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
3 : 0 FT
Emmen
✓ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
3 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 7 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 31%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 2 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 0 FT
Slask Wroclaw
✓ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
3 : 1 FT
Bari
Win 24%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
0 : 1 FT
Cesena
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia
1 : 2 FT
Reggiana
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Mantova
2 : 1 FT
Carrarese
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Modena
2 : 2 FT
Brescia
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Palermo
2 : 0 FT
Frosinone
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Pisa
3 : 3 FT
Sudtirol
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 0 FT
Salernitana
✓ Win 44%
Draw 39%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS No 75% ✓ Sampdoria Clean Sheet 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 24%
Serie B · Italy
Sassuolo
0 : 2 FT
Catanzaro
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Spezia
2 : 3 FT
Cremonese
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
3 : 1 FT
Bologna
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
4 : 3 FT
KVC Westerlo
✓ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Cork City
1 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
✓ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 0 FT
Galway United
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Coventry
1 : 2 FT
Sunderland
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Las Palmas
0 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 36%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 41 of 41 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 9 May 2025?

41 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Utrecht at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.