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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 20 April 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 71 fixtures on Sunday 20 April 2025. Saint Etienne vs Lyon sits top on 80% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 22%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Gremio
1 : 1 FT
Internacional
Win 30%
✓ Draw 36%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Changchun Yatai
0 : 0 FT
Yunnan Yukun
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
2 : 0 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
3 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
3 : 0 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
4 : 0 FT
Ajax
Win 19%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Super League · China
Henan Jianye
3 : 1 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · China
Qingdao Youth Island
2 : 0 FT
Dalian Zhixing
✓ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
✓ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
Utsikten
4 : 1 FT
Sandviken
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia
3 : 0 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
✓ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo
3 : 1 FT
Rubin
✓ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · Russia
Fakel
0 : 2 FT
FC Rostov
Win 30%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
1 : 2 FT
Port FC
Win 34%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Rayong FC
4 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
✓ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
3 : 1 FT
Preußen Münster
✓ Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
3 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
✓ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC
1 : 0 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
✓ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
3 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
✓ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 69%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Ulm 1846
2 : 3 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 32%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
0 : 0 FT
Antwerp
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
2 : 0 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
1 : 3 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 32%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
3 : 2 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Osters IF
0 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 34%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
2 : 3 FT
Osasuna
Win 21%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–1 · 19%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 1 FT
Prachuap
Win 27%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani
1 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
3 : 2 FT
Jong PSV U21
✓ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
2 : 3 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Wolfsberger AC
5 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
✓ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
2 : 0 FT
FC BW Linz
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
Inhulets
0 : 0 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 29%
Draw 35%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 70%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 20%
Premier League · England
Fulham
1 : 2 FT
Chelsea
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Ipswich
0 : 4 FT
Arsenal
Win 9%
Draw 17%
✓ Win 74%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–2 · 13%
Premier League · England
Manchester United
0 : 1 FT
Wolves
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
3 : 1 FT
Auxerre
✓ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Superettan · Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
1 : 2 FT
Landskrona BoIS
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
0 : 1 FT
IK brage
Win 34%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
2 : 2 FT
Venezia
Win 29%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
1 : 0 FT
Eyüpspor
✓ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
0 : 0 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit
1 : 0 FT
Khimki
✓ Win 78%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 69%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Juventude
2 : 2 FT
Mirassol
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
1 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
2 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
2 : 3 FT
BK Hacken
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
1 : 4 FT
Excelsior
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
2 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
1 : 3 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 45%
Draw 35%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
2 : 1 FT
Chornomorets
✓ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
2 : 1 FT
Angers
✓ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 3 FT
Lens
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Reims
1 : 0 FT
Toulouse
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Leicester
0 : 1 FT
Liverpool
Win 5%
Draw 10%
✓ Win 85%
Over 2.5 73%
Model Score 0–3 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 2 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
✓ Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
1 : 0 FT
Inter
✓ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
3 : 3 FT
Kayserispor
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
1 : 1 FT
Alaves
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
0 : 5 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 32%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
Everton de Vina
1 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 69% Everton de Vina Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 20%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 1 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 17%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
2 : 1 FT
Lyon
Win 19%
Draw 17%
Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
0 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 19%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
2 : 1 FT
Santos
✓ Win 48%
Draw 35%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 FT
Botafogo
Win 33%
Draw 40%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 0 FT
Palestino
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 1 FT
Vitoria
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Fortaleza EC
1 : 2 FT
Palmeiras
Win 41%
Draw 37%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%

Showing 71 of 71 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 20 April 2025?

71 fixtures met the criteria, led by Saint Etienne vs Lyon at 80% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.