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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 16 March 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 85 fixtures on Sunday 16 March 2025. Buriram United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC led the list at 79% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 27%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
1 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
0 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
2 : 2 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Akron
1 : 2 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 20%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
0 : 2 FT
Bodrum FK
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
5 : 0 FT
Muangthong United
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United
1 : 0 FT
Rayong FC
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · Ukraine
Inhulets
1 : 0 FT
Chornomorets
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 0 FT
Willem II
✓ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 27%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Puszcza Niepołomice
2 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Serie A · Italy
Venezia
0 : 0 FT
Napoli
Win 17%
Draw 29%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
0 : 0 FT
Bangkok United
Win 33%
Draw 22%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
5 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
✓ Win 88%
Draw 8%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 79%
Model Score 3–0 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
1 : 2 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Rubin
1 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
✓ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC
0 : 0 FT
SSV Ulm 1846
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
3 : 0 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 : 5 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 0 FT
Antwerp
Win 31%
✓ Draw 38%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 17%
La Liga · Spain
Leganes
2 : 3 FT
Real Betis
Win 33%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe
1 : 1 FT
Eyüpspor
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
3 : 2 FT
Sivasspor
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
1 : 1 FT
FC Sion
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Arsenal
1 : 0 FT
Chelsea
✓ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Fulham
2 : 0 FT
Tottenham
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
1 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
✓ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
2 : 6 FT
Feyenoord
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
1 : 1 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
4 : 2 FT
Le Havre
✓ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
5 : 0 FT
Lazio
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Pisa
3 : 1 FT
Mantova
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
2 : 2 FT
Sampdoria
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
2 : 2 FT
Carrarese
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
0 : 1 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 27%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
0 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 35%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 39%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
2 : 3 FT
Karviná
Win 29%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Cagliari
✓ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
D. La Serena
1 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
0 : 1 FT
Athletic Club
Win 28%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
1 : 3 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 34%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
1 : 1 FT
Estoril
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional
3 : 1 FT
Casa Pia
✓ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 2 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
✓ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
2 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
3 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
1 : 0 FT
Wolfsberger AC
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
4 : 2 FT
Lask Linz
✓ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
2 : 2 FT
SCR Altach
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
3 : 0 FT
Grazer AK
✓ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Austria
FC BW Linz
4 : 1 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 35%
Draw 37%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
WSG Wattens
0 : 2 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 26%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
0 : 2 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
0 : 0 FT
Reims
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
2 : 1 FT
Toulouse
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro
4 : 0 FT
Cosenza
✓ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
3 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
3 : 2 FT
Legia Warszawa
✓ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
2 : 1 FT
Zenit
✓ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
3 : 0 FT
Juventus
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
1 : 2 FT
Getafe
Win 35%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
4 : 2 FT
Charleroi
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
3 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
✓ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
1 : 2 FT
Kortrijk
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 32%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
3 : 2 FT
St. Truiden
✓ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
2 : 1 FT
Dender
✓ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
0 : 0 FT
Samsunspor
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
3 : 0 FT
FK Jablonec
✓ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
2 : 3 FT
Benfica
Win 36%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 4 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 24%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Leicester
0 : 3 FT
Manchester United
Win 18%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 57%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
2 : 1 FT
Lech Poznan
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 1 FT
Marseille
✓ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
0 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 25%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 46%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
2 : 4 FT
Barcelona
Win 36%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
1 : 0 FT
Boavista
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
2 : 0 FT
Estrela
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primera División · Chile
Cobresal
0 : 0 FT
O'Higgins
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
Palestino
2 : 0 FT
Nublense
✓ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
Deportes Iquique
0 : 4 FT
Union Espanola
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 85 of 85 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 16 March 2025?

85 fixtures met the criteria, led by Buriram United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.