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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 18 January 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 89 fixtures on Saturday 18 January 2025. Brentford vs Liverpool led the list at 86% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 25%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Deinze
– : – CANC
Lommel United
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 0 FT
Rizespor
✓ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United
1 : 0 FT
BG Pathum United
✓ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2 : 1 FT
SSV Ulm 1846
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
0 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Preußen Münster
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
✓ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
0 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Newcastle
1 : 4 FT
Bournemouth
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Cardiff
3 : 0 FT
Swansea
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Millwall
0 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 39%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Championship · England
Plymouth
0 : 1 FT
QPR
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Blackpool
2 : 2 FT
Huddersfield
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League One · England
Peterborough
0 : 0 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 27%
Draw 21%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
League Two · England
Carlisle
0 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 26%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League Two · England
Gillingham
0 : 1 FT
Doncaster
Win 28%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
1 : 1 FT
Laval
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Metz
3 : 1 FT
Paris FC
✓ Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Girona
1 : 2 FT
Sevilla
Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
0 : 0 FT
Bodrum FK
Win 66%
Draw 25%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Gaziantep FK Clean Sheet 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
League One · England
Northampton
0 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
3 : 1 FT
Monza
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
1 : 2 FT
Mantova
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Cremonese
3 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Modena
1 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 51%
Draw 33%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Serie B · Italy
Salernitana
2 : 1 FT
Reggiana
Win 24%
Draw 32%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
✓ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
3 : 2 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
✓ Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 2 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 35%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
3 : 3 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
1 : 3 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Brentford
0 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 26%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 55%
Over 2.5 86% BTTS Yes 82%
Model Score 1–2 · 6%
Premier League · England
Leicester
0 : 2 FT
Fulham
Win 17%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 57%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
West Ham
0 : 2 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 23%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 51%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Coventry
1 : 0 FT
Bristol City
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Derby
0 : 2 FT
Watford
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Luton
0 : 0 FT
Preston
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Oxford United
1 : 0 FT
Blackburn
Win 28%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Portsmouth
2 : 1 FT
Middlesbrough
✓ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
2 : 0 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Championship · England
West Brom
1 : 1 FT
Stoke City
Win 54%
Draw 31%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 66% West Brom Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 20%
League One · England
Birmingham
1 : 0 FT
Exeter City
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
League One · England
Bolton
2 : 2 FT
Cambridge United
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
League One · England
Bristol Rovers
3 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
League One · England
Crawley Town
1 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Mansfield Town
1 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 22%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Reading
1 : 3 FT
Stockport County
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League One · England
Rotherham
4 : 2 FT
Charlton
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Stevenage
1 : 2 FT
Wigan
Win 32%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0 FT
Tranmere
✓ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Accrington ST
0 : 3 FT
Notts County
Win 33%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Bromley
0 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Grimsby
1 : 1 FT
Chesterfield
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Morecambe
0 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 20%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 17%
League Two · England
Port Vale
3 : 2 FT
Newport County
✓ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League Two · England
Salford City
0 : 2 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Swindon Town
2 : 0 FT
Barrow
✓ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Walsall
4 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
✓ Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Dender
0 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
0 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 21%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 60%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Super League 1 · Greece
Kallithea
2 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Leganes
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 12%
Draw 19%
Win 69%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–2 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
3 : 1 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 19%
Draw 21%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
5 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
2 : 3 FT
Estoril
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
1 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 21%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
0 : 0 FT
Samsunspor
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
2 : 2 FT
Brescia
Win 41%
Draw 38%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
2 : 0 FT
AC Milan
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion
0 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
0 : 0 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
1 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Arsenal
2 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
✓ Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
1 : 3 FT
Alaves
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
0 : 0 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 26%
Draw 20%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
1 : 2 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
0 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 28%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
0 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 1 FT
Feyenoord
Win 26%
Draw 22%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
2 : 2 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Francs Borains
0 : 0 FT
SK Beveren
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Köln
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
1 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
2 : 3 FT
Napoli
Win 31%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
4 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
✓ Win 86%
Draw 11%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 77%
Model Score 3–0 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 1 FT
Groningen
✓ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe
1 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
0 : 0 FT
Toulouse
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
2 : 2 FT
Arouca
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Showing 89 of 89 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 18 January 2025?

89 fixtures met the criteria, led by Brentford vs Liverpool at 86% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.