Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 4 October 2024

Tue 1 Wed 2 Thu 3 Fri 4 Sat 5 Sun 6 Mon 7

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

42 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 4 October 2024. Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98 sits top on 83% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Serie A · Brazil

✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%

Model Score 0–0 · 19%

Thai League 1 · Thailand

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Premier League · Ukraine

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Premier League · Ukraine

Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Model Score 1–0 · 12%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%

Model Score 3–1 · 7%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Model Score 2–0 · 14%

Serie A · Italy

Model Score 1–0 · 12%

Superettan · Sweden

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Süper Lig · Turkey

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Ligue 2 · France

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Ligue 2 · France

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Ligue 2 · France

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Ligue 2 · France

Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Model Score 0–2 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%

Model Score 1–1 · 8%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 53%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Bundesliga · Germany

FC Augsburg

2 : 1 FT

Borussia Mönchengladbach

✓ Win 43%

Draw 27%

Win 30%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Serie B · Italy

Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67% Sampdoria Clean Sheet 53%

Model Score 1–0 · 19%

Ligue 1 · France

Model Score 1–0 · 12%

Serie A · Italy

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–0 · 10%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 2–0 · 10%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Championship · England

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

La Liga · Spain

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 42 of 42 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 4 October 2024?

42 fixtures met the criteria, led by Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98 at 83% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.