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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 27 September 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 49 fixtures on Friday 27 September 2024. Al Urooba vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai led the list at 75% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 21%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 0 FT
Incheon United
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
0 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
0 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 69%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
0 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 53%
Draw 32%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
5 : 1 FT
Dibba Al Hisn
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
1 : 4 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 16%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Orenburg
1 : 2 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Gnistan
1 : 0 FT
AC Oulu
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Veres Rivne
1 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 18%
Draw 19%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
2 : 0 FT
Al Wehda Club
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
GKS Katowice
3 : 1 FT
Pogon Szczecin
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Russia
Fakel
0 : 0 FT
Rubin
Win 28%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%
✓ Model Score 0–0 Β· 18%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
2 : 2 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 2 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 26%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SSV Ulm 1846
3 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Auxerre
3 : 0 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 2 FT
Başakşehir
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
2 : 3 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
3 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
2 : 1 FT
Rodez
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
2 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Martigues
1 : 1 FT
Dunkerque
Win 14%
Draw 23%
Win 63%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
3 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Lorient
3 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
2 : 1 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
1 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
4 : 2 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 4 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
2 : 2 FT
FC OSS
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen
3 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 27%
Draw 22%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Francs Borains
1 : 2 FT
RWDM
Win 18%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
4 : 1 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
1 : 2 FT
Frosinone
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
Tranmere
0 : 0 FT
Salford City
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
3 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
1 : 1 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 1 FT
Derry City
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 2 FT
Bohemians
Win 28%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
1 : 2 FT
Galway United
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
Plymouth
3 : 1 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 1 FT
Rennes
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
La Liga Β· Spain
Valladolid
1 : 2 FT
Mallorca
Win 26%
Draw 40%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 68%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 21%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 3 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
0 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 12%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 12%

Showing 49 of 49 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 27 September 2024?

49 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Urooba vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.