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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 21 July 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 47 fixtures on Sunday 21 July 2024. Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Teda led the list at 72% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 25%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
2 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Iquique
2 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
Qingdao Youth Island
3 : 3 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Incheon United
1 : 4 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 34%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
0 : 1 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Seoul
1 : 0 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
1 : 2 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
2 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Sandviken
1 : 2 FT
Utsikten
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 2 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 32%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
2 : 1 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
Sichuan Jiuniu
2 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0 FT
Tianjin Teda
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
5 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
1 : 0 FT
Halmstad
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 21%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Mariehamn
0 : 4 FT
SJK
Win 25%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
1 : 2 FT
FC Sion
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
0 : 1 FT
Tromso
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Karviná
1 : 3 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
1 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Skövde AIK
1 : 0 FT
IK brage
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
2 : 0 FT
Vitoria
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
3 : 2 FT
VPS
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 1 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
3 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
3 : 2 FT
FC Basel 1893
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
1 : 2 FT
Servette FC
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Orenburg
2 : 0 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Ham-Kam
0 : 1 FT
Fredrikstad
Win 34%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
1 : 0 FT
Viking
Win 22%
Draw 28%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovácko
0 : 0 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
2 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
1 : 0 FT
Lahti
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Primera División Β· Chile
Palestino
1 : 4 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Russia
Akhmat
1 : 1 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Russia
Khimki
1 : 1 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
1 : 0 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Atlético Ottawa
2 : 2 FT
Valour
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Motor Lublin
0 : 2 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 0 FT
Vasco DA Gama
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
0 : 1 FT
Corinthians
Win 66%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 61% Bahia Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
3 : 3 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 25%
Draw 21%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Cavalry FC
1 : 1 FT
Forge
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
3 : 1 FT
Atletico Goianiense
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Juventude
0 : 0 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
2 : 1 FT
Union Espanola
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 47 of 47 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 21 July 2024?

47 fixtures met the criteria, led by Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Teda at 72% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.