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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 3 May 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

47 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 3 May 2024. 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig led the list at 81% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 20%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Uthai Thani
3 : 1 FT
Trat FC
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
3 : 0 FT
Lahti
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
0 : 3 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 24%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
5 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
1 : 0 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
1 : 2 FT
Montpellier
Win 36%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ankaragücü
1 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
3 : 2 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Lustenau
2 : 0 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Angers
2 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Bordeaux
4 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
1 : 2 FT
Amiens
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
1 : 0 FT
Laval
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Estac Troyes
1 : 1 FT
Valenciennes
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
2 : 1 FT
Concarneau
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
1 : 2 FT
Dunkerque
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
1 : 3 FT
Annecy
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
0 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 1 FT
Heerenveen
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 2 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
1 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 3 FT
MVV
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
2 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 0 FT
Cambuur
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
4 : 1 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 2 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 22%
Draw 21%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
League One Β· England
Barnsley
1 : 3 FT
Bolton
Win 29%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 26%
Draw 21%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 78%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Ruch Chorzów
2 : 1 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
0 : 0 FT
Bologna
Win 31%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 70%
✓ Model Score 0–0 Β· 22%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 2 FT
St. Truiden
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
0 : 0 FT
Derry City
Win 21%
Draw 34%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 18%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1 FT
Waterford
Win 39%
Draw 36%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 18%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ St Patrick's Athl. Clean Sheet 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Premier League Β· England
Luton
1 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
2 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 2 FT
Athletic Club
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
1 : 0 FT
Vizela
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primera División Β· Chile
Palestino
3 : 1 FT
Deportes Copiapo
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%

Showing 47 of 47 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 3 May 2024?

47 fixtures met the criteria, led by 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig at 81% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.