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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 12 April 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

33 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 12 April 2024. KRC Genk II vs Francs Borains led the list at 67% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Haka
2 : 1 FT
EIF
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 36%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
1 : 1 FT
SJK
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
4 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 : 1 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
3 : 1 FT
Skövde AIK
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
0 : 1 FT
Sivasspor
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
3 : 3 FT
AC Oulu
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Lask Linz
3 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
4 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
0 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
5 : 1 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 5 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 3 FT
MVV
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 4 FT
Roda
Win 21%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 4 FT
Dordrecht
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
4 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
1 : 2 FT
Liège
Win 32%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KRC Genk II
1 : 1 FT
Francs Borains
Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
2 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 34%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
5 : 0 FT
Ruch Chorzów
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
1 : 3 FT
Catanzaro
Win 29%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
4 : 1 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
3 : 3 FT
Standard Liege
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 2 FT
Bohemians
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
0 : 0 FT
Galway United
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
Plymouth
1 : 0 FT
Leicester
Win 26%
Draw 23%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Metz
2 : 1 FT
Lens
Win 17%
Draw 27%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
2 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
0 : 4 FT
Sporting CP
Win 23%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%

Showing 33 of 33 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 12 April 2024?

33 fixtures met the criteria, led by KRC Genk II vs Francs Borains at 67% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.