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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Tuesday 28 November 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

34 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 28 November 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Notts County vs Crawley Town at 77% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 25%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Goias
0 : 1 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 28%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Serie B · Italy
Como
0 : 0 FT
Lecco
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
1 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Concarneau
1 : 2 FT
PAU
Win 32%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Cardiff
0 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Coventry
1 : 0 FT
Plymouth
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Championship · England
Hull City
4 : 1 FT
Rotherham
✓ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 64% Hull City Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
4 : 0 FT
Preston
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
QPR
4 : 2 FT
Stoke City
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
League One · England
Barnsley
1 : 0 FT
Wycombe
✓ Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
League One · England
Blackpool
1 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
League One · England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Cambridge United
0 : 3 FT
Lincoln
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
League One · England
Charlton
2 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Exeter City
0 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
League One · England
Oxford United
0 : 0 FT
Bolton
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Port Vale
0 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Stevenage
2 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Wigan
3 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Burton Albion
0 : 2 FT
Portsmouth
Win 31%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Accrington ST
3 : 4 FT
Swindon Town
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Barrow
2 : 0 FT
Walsall
✓ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Doncaster
3 : 1 FT
Colchester
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Forest Green
0 : 3 FT
Bradford
Win 34%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Gillingham
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town
2 : 2 FT
Wrexham
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Mansfield Town
2 : 2 FT
Tranmere
Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 68% Mansfield Town Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Morecambe
1 : 2 FT
Newport County
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League Two · England
Notts County
3 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
✓ Win 59%
Draw 18%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
League Two · England
Stockport County
0 : 0 FT
Salford City
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Sutton Utd
1 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 34%
Draw 23%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Watford
3 : 2 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
League One · England
Reading
5 : 1 FT
Carlisle
✓ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Showing 34 of 34 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 28 November 2023?

34 fixtures met the criteria, led by Notts County vs Crawley Town at 77% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.