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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 25 August 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

43 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 25 August 2023. Cambuur vs Jong Ajax led the list at 67% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 37%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon City FC
1 : 2 FT
Incheon United
Win 27%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 1 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
3 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 12%
Draw 24%
Win 64%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
1 : 2 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 2 FT
Bangkok United
Win 31%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Emirates Club
4 : 4 FT
Ajman
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Orenburg
1 : 1 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
2 : 1 FT
Kooteepee
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
2 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 2 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 2 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
1 : 2 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 37%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Russia
Fakel
0 : 0 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
La Liga Β· Spain
Las Palmas
0 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 2 FT
MVV
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 1 FT
Emmen
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
4 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
4 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KRC Genk II
0 : 3 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
0 : 5 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
0 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
2 : 0 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
1 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 0 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
0 : 5 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 42%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Hull City
1 : 1 FT
Bristol City
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
5 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Widzew Łódź
0 : 2 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 2 FT
Pisa
Win 31%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
3 : 1 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
0 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 18%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Dundalk
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
3 : 0 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
3 : 3 FT
Monaco
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estrela
2 : 1 FT
Estoril
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
0 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 24%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
1 : 1 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
2 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 43 of 43 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 25 August 2023?

43 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cambuur vs Jong Ajax at 67% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.