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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Wednesday 3 May 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 35 fixtures on Wednesday 3 May 2023. Manchester City vs West Ham sits top on 76% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 25%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
5 : 0 FT
Metal Kharkiv
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 0 FT
Minai
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 64%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Lviv
0 : 1 FT
Oleksandria
Win 34%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
3 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 18%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
1 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
3 : 0 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 0 FT
ODD Ballklubb
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
0 : 2 FT
Brann
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
3 : 2 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
2 : 1 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Serie A Β· Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 2 FT
Torino
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
3 : 3 FT
Fiorentina
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 13%
Draw 20%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 12%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
6 : 1 FT
Halmstad
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
4 : 1 FT
Djurgardens IF
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
2 : 2 FT
Sirius
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
0 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
0 : 0 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 34%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
4 : 2 FT
Volos NFC
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
1 : 1 FT
PAOK
Win 31%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
1 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
0 : 2 FT
Antwerp
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Wehda Club
0 : 2 FT
Damac
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
1 : 0 FT
Al-Fateh
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Burton Albion
1 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Crewe
3 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
1 : 0 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
3 : 0 FT
West Ham
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
2 : 0 FT
Nantes
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 6 FT
Inter
Win 35%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
2 : 0 FT
Sassuolo
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
1 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
1 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
5 : 1 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
1 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 35 of 35 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Wednesday 3 May 2023?

35 fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester City vs West Ham at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.