Sign in Register
πŸ”’

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Wednesday 1 December 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

29 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 1 December 2021. Inter vs Spezia sits top on 82% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 28%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
America Mineiro
3 : 0 FT
Chapecoense-sc
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ America Mineiro Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
1 : 3 FT
Palmeiras
Win 26%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Serie B Β· Italy
Parma
0 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
3 : 0 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
1 : 0 FT
AS Roma
Win 35%
Draw 23%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 11%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 3–1 Β· 8%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Angers
1 : 3 FT
Monaco
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Metz
1 : 3 FT
Montpellier
Win 35%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
5 : 2 FT
Bordeaux
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Estac Troyes
2 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 1 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
2 : 1 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· England
Watford
1 : 2 FT
Chelsea
Win 12%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 68%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Wolves
0 : 0 FT
Burnley
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Southampton
2 : 2 FT
Leicester
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
2 : 2 FT
Como
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
3 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
0 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 19%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
2 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
2 : 2 FT
Lens
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
1 : 2 FT
Reims
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
0 : 1 FT
Marseille
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
1 : 2 FT
Lille
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
0 : 0 FT
Nice
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
1 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 24%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
Everton
1 : 4 FT
Liverpool
Win 15%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%

Showing 29 of 29 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Wednesday 1 December 2021?

29 fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Spezia at 82% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.