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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Tuesday 21 September 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

39 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 21 September 2021. The strongest reading belongs to FC Zurich vs Servette FC at 66% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 23%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Cuiaba
2 : 2 FT
Fluminense
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
3 : 2 FT
Gangwon FC
✓ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
1 : 2 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 2 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 32%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
0 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
1 : 2 FT
Altay
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Alessandria
1 : 3 FT
Ascoli
Win 23%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Benevento
4 : 1 FT
Cittadella
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
2 : 2 FT
Genoa
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
0 : 5 FT
Ajax
Win 36%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
Helsingborg
3 : 0 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
3 : 3 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
BTTS No 60% Beşiktaş Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 1 FT
Sivasspor
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe
1 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 17%
Draw 36%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
0 : 0 FT
Niort
Win 59%
Draw 31%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Ajaccio Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
2 : 2 FT
PAU
Win 19%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–1 · 19%
Ligue 2 · France
Auxerre
1 : 0 FT
Rodez
✓ Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Caen
0 : 1 FT
Dijon
Win 46%
Draw 34%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
0 : 2 FT
Toulouse
Win 11%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
4 : 1 FT
Nancy
Win 34%
Draw 41%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
1 : 2 FT
Sochaux
Win 21%
Draw 39%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Ligue 2 · France
Le Havre
1 : 0 FT
Quevilly
Win 31%
Draw 37%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
2 : 0 FT
Nimes
Win 22%
Draw 37%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
2 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 21%
Draw 37%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Crotone
0 : 3 FT
Lecce
Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Pisa
2 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 35%
Draw 37%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Serie B · Italy
Pordenone
1 : 1 FT
Reggina
Win 18%
Draw 29%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Spal
3 : 2 FT
Vicenza Virtus
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
2 : 0 FT
Como
✓ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
2 : 2 FT
Servette FC
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
League One · England
Crewe
1 : 3 FT
Morecambe
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Gillingham
1 : 1 FT
Charlton
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Portsmouth
2 : 2 FT
Plymouth
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League Two · England
Crawley Town
2 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
2 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 3 FT
Inter
Win 34%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 27%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
1 : 2 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 46%
Draw 37%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
La Liga · Spain
Levante
0 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 39 of 39 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 21 September 2021?

39 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Zurich vs Servette FC at 66% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.