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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 17 October 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 17 October 2026. Colchester vs Exeter City led the list at 53% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 40%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Colchester
0 : 0 FT
Exeter City
Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#2 League Two Β· England
Grimsby
0 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#3 League Two Β· England
Newport County
1 : 1 FT
York
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#4 League Two Β· England
Salford City
2 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#5 Championship Β· England
Millwall
2 : 2 FT
Lincoln
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#6 League Two Β· England
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 62%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
1 : 2 FT
AC Oulu
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#9 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kudrivka
4 : 1 FT
Bukovyna
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
#10 League Two Β· England
Crewe
3 : 2 FT
Rochdale
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv
3 : 3 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 25%
Draw 36%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 57%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
2 : 0 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#13 Super League Β· China
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 1 FT
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 57%
#14 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Carrarese
2 : 1 FT
Modena
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#16 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
2 : 1 FT
Chornomorets
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#17 League One Β· England
Bradford
2 : 0 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#19 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
2 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#20 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
2 : 0 FT
SJK
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 17 October 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Colchester vs Exeter City at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.