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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 24 May 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 24 May 2025. CSKA Moscow vs Nizhny Novgorod led the list at 53% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 40%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
2 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
✓ Win 62%
Draw 27%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
1 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 17%
Draw 28%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#3 Premier League · Russia
Rubin
4 : 2 FT
FC Orenburg
✓ Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#4 Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
2 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
✓ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Bologna
1 : 3 FT
Genoa
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#6 K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
1 : 1 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#7 Premier League · Russia
Zenit
3 : 0 FT
Akhmat
✓ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Alaves
1 : 1 FT
Osasuna
Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#9 Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
0 : 2 FT
Mirassol
Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
2 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
✓ Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#11 Primeira Liga · Portugal
AVS
3 : 0 FT
Vizela
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
2 : 3 FT
Motor Lublin
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#13 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
3 : 0 FT
Baník Ostrava
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 Eliteserien · Norway
Bryne
4 : 3 FT
Fredrikstad
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#15 Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
2 : 0 FT
Monza
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 56%
#16 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 1 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#17 Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets
0 : 0 FT
Oleksandria
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#18 Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
5 : 0 FT
Khimki
✓ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 2 FT
Sunderland
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#20 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Dender
2 : 2 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 29%
Draw 36%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 24 May 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by CSKA Moscow vs Nizhny Novgorod at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.