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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 2 May 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 2 May 2025. Torino vs Venezia led the list at 48% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 35%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Italy
Torino
1 : 1 FT
Venezia
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#2 Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
0 : 0 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 28%
Draw 35%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#3 Ligue 1 · France
Nice
1 : 0 FT
Reims
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
4 : 1 FT
Al Kholood
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
3 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
2 : 2 FT
Bastia
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#7 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
2 : 1 FT
Damac
✓ Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
5 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
✓ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
1 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
#11 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
0 : 5 FT
Preußen Münster
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
0 : 0 FT
Laval
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#13 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 2 FT
Waterford
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
#14 Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS
1 : 0 FT
SJK
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#15 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
2 : 2 FT
Drogheda United
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 56%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 1 FT
Telstar
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
3 : 1 FT
Moreirense
✓ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
3 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#19 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
✓ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Premier League · Ukraine
Livyi Bereh
2 : 3 FT
Karpaty
Win 35%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 2 May 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Torino vs Venezia at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.