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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 4 October 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 4 October 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia at 53% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 2 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 44%
Draw 37%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67% Sampdoria Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Widzew Łódź
0 : 1 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
3 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 22%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
2 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
1 : 0 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
1 : 1 FT
Angers
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
#9 Championship Β· England
Sunderland
2 : 2 FT
Leeds
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
3 : 1 FT
Como
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 28%
Win 13%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Puszcza Niepołomice
0 : 6 FT
GKS Katowice
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
1 : 0 FT
U. Catolica
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain
Leganes
0 : 0 FT
Valencia
Win 43%
Draw 35%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#15 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
1 : 0 FT
Al Kholood
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 14%
Draw 22%
Win 64%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
2 : 1 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#18 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 0 FT
Al Shabab
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
2 : 1 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
1 : 1 FT
Famalicao
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 4 October 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.