Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 6 October 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 6 October 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala at 65% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 40%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Russia
Fakel
1 : 1 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
Win 35%
βœ“ Draw 46%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 90% BTTS No 81% Fakel Clean Sheet 65%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Krasnodar
4 : 0 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 24%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ FC Krasnodar Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
1 : 1 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
BTTS No 60% Malmo FF Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile
Universidad de Chile
1 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
3 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 20%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
0 : 1 FT
Salernitana
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Levadiakos
0 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 11%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 64%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 1 FT
Kryvbas KR
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
1 : 1 FT
Cagliari
Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
3 : 1 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 23%
Draw 33%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
1 : 1 FT
Juventude
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#14 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
2 : 0 FT
Nakhon Pathom
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 55%
#15 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
2 : 1 FT
Al Urooba
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
0 : 2 FT
Sudtirol
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
1 : 3 FT
Samsunspor
Win 15%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
3 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
Win 33%
Draw 37%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#19 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
1 : 1 FT
Cardiff
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 57%
#20 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
0 : 1 FT
Haka
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 6 October 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala at 65% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.