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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 5 October 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 5 October 2024. Lech Poznan vs Motor Lublin led the list at 55% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 45%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
1 : 2 FT
Motor Lublin
Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
BTTS No 61% Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 2 FT
Lausanne
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 64% FC Luzern Clean Sheet 55%
#3 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
2 : 0 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#4 Championship Β· England
West Brom
0 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#5 Championship Β· England
Swansea
0 : 0 FT
Stoke City
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
1 : 2 FT
Lorient
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 67%
#7 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
0 : 1 FT
Lokeren-Temse
Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
1 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 24%
Draw 35%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Sion
1 : 1 FT
Yverdon Sport
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Valladolid
1 : 2 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 26%
Draw 44%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 67%
#11 League Two Β· England
Barrow
2 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#12 League One Β· England
Exeter City
1 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
1 : 0 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 1 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
1 : 1 FT
Osasuna
Win 49%
Draw 34%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#16 Superettan Β· Sweden
Sandviken
3 : 1 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#17 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
2 : 0 FT
Al-Fateh
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Karviná
0 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#19 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
2 : 1 FT
Vasteras SK FK
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
#20 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
2 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 5 October 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lech Poznan vs Motor Lublin at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.