Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 28 September 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 28 September 2024. Benfica vs GIL Vicente led the list at 52% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
5 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 59%
#2 Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
0 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 16%
Draw 25%
Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
2 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 0 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#5 Championship Β· England
Derby
2 : 3 FT
Norwich
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Leganes
Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile
Everton de Vina
2 : 0 FT
Cobreloa
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 56%
#8 League One Β· England
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Charlton
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Samsunspor
4 : 3 FT
Göztepe
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia
CSKA Moscow
3 : 0 FT
Akhmat
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
2 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#12 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovácko
2 : 1 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#13 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Forge
2 : 0 FT
York United
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Motor Lublin
2 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#15 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
0 : 1 FT
Ilves
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#16 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#17 Ligue 2 Β· France
RED Star FC 93
1 : 3 FT
Paris FC
Win 22%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#18 Premier League Β· Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
1 : 1 FT
Chornomorets
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#19 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
2 : 0 FT
Barrow
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#20 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
1 : 2 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 14%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 28 September 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Benfica vs GIL Vicente at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.