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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 21 September 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 21 September 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Real Madrid vs Espanyol at 61% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 41%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 25%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 67% Real Madrid Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
3 : 1 FT
Fakel
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
BTTS No 60% Zenit Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
2 : 2 FT
Estoril
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Valladolid
0 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 29%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 70%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Karviná
1 : 0 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
2 : 1 FT
Dundalk
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#8 League Two Β· England
Barrow
2 : 0 FT
Newport County
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
#9 Championship Β· England
Cardiff
0 : 2 FT
Leeds
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Venezia
2 : 0 FT
Genoa
Win 21%
Draw 37%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 League One Β· England
Wrexham
2 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#12 Premier League Β· Russia
Akron
2 : 5 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 2 FT
Heracles
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
#14 League One Β· England
Wycombe
2 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
3 : 2 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
0 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#17 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
3 : 0 FT
Atletico Goianiense
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 53%
#18 League One Β· England
Stockport County
1 : 4 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#19 League Two Β· England
Bradford
0 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#20 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
2 : 1 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 21 September 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Madrid vs Espanyol at 61% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.