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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 13 September 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 13 September 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Real Betis vs Leganes at 45% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 45% down to 35%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
2 : 0 FT
Leganes
✓ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#2 Premier League · Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 0 FT
Oleksandria
Win 15%
Draw 21%
Win 64%
#3 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Preußen Münster
3 : 3 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 20%
Draw 31%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
0 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku
1 : 1 FT
EIF
Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lokeren-Temse
2 : 2 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#7 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Dender
0 : 2 FT
Standard Liege
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 0 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
✓ Win 88%
Draw 8%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
1 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 17%
Draw 26%
Win 57%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
1 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#11 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
0 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 17%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
GKS Katowice
2 : 2 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#13 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
3 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
✓ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#14 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
2 : 0 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#15 Championship · England
Hull City
0 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#16 Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
0 : 1 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0 FT
Ham-Kam
✓ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 3 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#19 Serie B · Italy
Cesena
2 : 2 FT
Modena
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 57%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 1 FT
Vitesse
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 13 September 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Betis vs Leganes at 45% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.