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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 16 September 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 16 September 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Kolos Kovalivka vs LNZ Cherkasy at 47% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 26%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 29%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 1 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 0 FT
FC OSS
✓ Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
#3 Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
1 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 38%
Draw 36%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
3 : 3 FT
Vitesse
Win 24%
Draw 35%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#5 Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
2 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
✓ Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela
2 : 2 FT
Boavista
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#7 League One · England
Birmingham
3 : 1 FT
Wrexham
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 1 FT
Osasuna
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 53%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
3 : 1 FT
Caen
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#10 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
1 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Serie A · Italy
Parma
2 : 3 FT
Udinese
Win 30%
Draw 37%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 62%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
4 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
✓ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 3 FT
Den Bosch
Win 29%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Adana Demirspor
✓ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Lazio
2 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
0 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
2 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 17 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 16 September 2024?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kolos Kovalivka vs LNZ Cherkasy at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.