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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 23 August 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 23 August 2024. Lechia Gdansk vs Raków Częstochowa led the list at 49% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 2 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 19%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#2 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
#3 Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 1 FT
Göztepe
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
1 : 3 FT
Metz
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
#5 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2 : 0 FT
Al Orubah
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
0 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
2 : 4 FT
Martigues
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 2 FT
Leeds
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#9 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
3 : 2 FT
Dunkerque
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 58%
#11 Premier League · Russia
Rubin
2 : 0 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Modena
2 : 1 FT
Bari
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 55%
#13 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
3 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
✓ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
3 : 1 FT
Valencia
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
0 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 34%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#16 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 1 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
0 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
1 : 0 FT
Amiens
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#19 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#20 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Farense
0 : 5 FT
Sporting CP
Win 18%
Draw 18%
✓ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 23 August 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lechia Gdansk vs Raków Częstochowa at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.