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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 16 May 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 16 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Malmo FF vs Gais at 47% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 27%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
1 : 0 FT
Gais
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
2 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Las Palmas
2 : 2 FT
Real Betis
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0 FT
Tromso
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
3 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 7 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 0 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
1 : 3 FT
Karviná
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
1 : 4 FT
Lillestrom
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#10 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
4 : 2 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 55%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Almeria
0 : 2 FT
Barcelona
Win 16%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 66%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Championship Β· England
Leeds
4 : 0 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#13 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
2 : 2 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Fredrikstad
4 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#15 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
1 : 3 FT
KFUM Oslo
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
0 : 5 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 24%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Ternana
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#18 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
3 : 0 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 2 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Zlin
1 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 16 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Malmo FF vs Gais at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.