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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 1 May 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 1 May 2024. Dynamo Kyiv vs Veres Rivne sits top on 54% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 27%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie B supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Dynamo Kyiv Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggiana
1 : 0 FT
Modena
Win 18%
Draw 31%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy
Como
2 : 1 FT
Cittadella
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
1 : 4 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 13%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 22%
Draw 34%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Deinze
2 : 1 FT
Patro Eisden
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
0 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 30%
Draw 38%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy
Sudtirol
4 : 3 FT
Ternana
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
#9 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
2 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
0 : 5 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 26%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Incheon United
3 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
1 : 2 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 33%
Draw 37%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy
Lecco
0 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 23%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#14 Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#15 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC
1 : 3 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 55%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy
Catanzaro
3 : 2 FT
Venezia
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy
Cremonese
2 : 1 FT
Pisa
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 55%
#18 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 0 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 65%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Spezia
1 : 0 FT
Palermo
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 0 FT
Zulte Waregem
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 1 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Dynamo Kyiv vs Veres Rivne at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.