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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 29 April 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 29 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United at 49% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 28%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
4 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
✓ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
2 : 1 FT
Vasteras SK FK
✓ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#3 Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
1 : 1 FT
Atletico Goianiense
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%
#4 Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
1 : 0 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 24%
Draw 32%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Primera División · Chile
Deportes Iquique
2 : 1 FT
Palestino
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 54%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 18%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 56%
#7 Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
4 : 1 FT
Antalyaspor
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
#8 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Puszcza Niepołomice
1 : 1 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#9 Premier League · Russia
Rubin
1 : 1 FT
Ural
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
1 : 3 FT
Auxerre
Win 26%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 58%
#11 Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
1 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#12 La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
4 : 2 FT
Valencia
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 56%
#13 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
0 : 0 FT
Prachuap
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Genoa
3 : 0 FT
Cagliari
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 58%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
3 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
✓ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 57%
#16 Premier League · Russia
FC Sochi
0 : 0 FT
Fakel
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 53%
#17 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
0 : 3 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#18 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
3 : 2 FT
Kalmar FF
✓ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
2 : 1 FT
FC Orenburg
✓ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Championship · England
Preston
0 : 3 FT
Leicester
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 29 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.