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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 4 March 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

19 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 4 March 2024. Inter vs Genoa led the list at 59% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 21%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier Division supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 32%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Italy
Inter
2 : 1 FT
Genoa
✓ Win 71%
Draw 21%
Win 8%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 63% Inter Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Angers
3 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
✓ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%
#3 Premier League · England
Sheffield Utd
0 : 6 FT
Arsenal
Win 3%
Draw 8%
✓ Win 89%
✓ Over 2.5 81%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 4 FT
Groningen
Win 20%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#5 Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
1 : 0 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
✓ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 53%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#7 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
3 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 59%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
1 : 0 FT
Alaves
✓ Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
#10 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 0 FT
Galway United
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Gaziantep FK
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Trat FC
2 : 2 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
2 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
1 : 1 FT
Boavista
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
1 : 3 FT
Dordrecht
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#16 Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 5 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
3 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
3 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#19 Primera División · Chile
Deportes Copiapo
1 : 3 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 38%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 4 March 2024?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Genoa at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.