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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 23 January 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 23 January 2024. Mansfield Town vs Sutton Utd led the list at 50% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 28%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Mansfield Town
1 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 57%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
2 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#3 League One · England
Bristol Rovers
0 : 1 FT
Exeter City
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 58%
#4 League One · England
Wigan
1 : 0 FT
Wycombe
✓ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 0 FT
Annecy
✓ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
3 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
✓ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Angers
3 : 2 FT
Quevilly
✓ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Bordeaux
3 : 1 FT
Valenciennes
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#9 League One · England
Bolton
1 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
1 : 2 FT
Caen
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
1 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Concarneau
1 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
3 : 3 FT
Rodez
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 53%
#14 Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
0 : 0 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 54%
#15 League One · England
Reading
1 : 0 FT
Derby
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
1 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 League Two · England
Bradford
1 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
0 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
3 : 3 FT
Servette FC
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 53%
#20 League One · England
Charlton
2 : 3 FT
Northampton
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 23 January 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Mansfield Town vs Sutton Utd at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.