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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 21 January 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 21 January 2024. Antwerp vs Charleroi sits top on 54% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 34%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
4 : 1 FT
Charleroi
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 27%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60% Antwerp Clean Sheet 54%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
3 : 2 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 1 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 7%
Draw 14%
Win 79%
Over 2.5 71%
#4 Championship Β· England
Leeds
2 : 1 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
1 : 5 FT
Galatasaray
Win 26%
Draw 37%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
0 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
0 : 3 FT
Juventus
Win 24%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense
0 : 2 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
3 : 0 FT
Monza
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
1 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 17%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 57%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
3 : 0 FT
Estrela
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
2 : 2 FT
Bari
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
2 : 4 FT
Barcelona
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
1 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
4 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 3 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy
Frosinone
3 : 1 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 21 January 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Antwerp vs Charleroi at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.