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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 20 January 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 20 January 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Peterborough vs Shrewsbury at 58% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Peterborough
2 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
✓ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 62% Peterborough Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 1 FT
Kortrijk
Win 60%
Draw 29%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 62% Standard Liege Clean Sheet 56%
#3 League One · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Bolton
Win 17%
Draw 30%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65% Bolton Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
1 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 56%
#5 League One · England
Exeter City
0 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#6 League One · England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 13%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 65%
#7 Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
2 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
✓ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
5 : 0 FT
Moreirense
✓ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#9 Championship · England
Middlesbrough
1 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#10 Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 2 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
#11 Serie B · Italy
Ternana
3 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 32%
Draw 36%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 65%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Spezia
0 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 27%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#13 Super League 1 · Greece
Lamia
4 : 1 FT
Kifisia
✓ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 2 FT
Las Palmas
Win 34%
Draw 37%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#15 Süper Lig · Turkey
Pendikspor
4 : 0 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 11%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#16 La Liga · Spain
Valencia
1 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
✓ Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#17 League Two · England
Barrow
1 : 3 FT
Crewe
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#18 Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
2 : 2 FT
Como
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#19 League One · England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2 FT
Blackpool
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#20 Championship · England
Stoke City
1 : 2 FT
Birmingham
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 20 January 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Peterborough vs Shrewsbury at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.