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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 19 January 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 19 January 2024. Gent vs KV Mechelen led the list at 42% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 42% down to 20%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
1 : 2 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
2 : 1 FT
VfL Osnabrück
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
3 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
1 : 0 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
2 : 0 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 3 FT
Parma
Win 21%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 0 FT
Telstar
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Holstein Kiel
1 : 2 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 72%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#11 Championship Β· England
Sunderland
0 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 2 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#13 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Deinze
4 : 0 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 37%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 37%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
3 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 15 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 19 January 2024?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gent vs KV Mechelen at 42% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.