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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 20 December 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 20 December 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Nice vs Lens at 52% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 28%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 1 supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
2 : 0 FT
Lens
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 39%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 2 FT
Lamia
Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
1 : 3 FT
Rennes
Win 29%
Draw 42%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 82% BTTS No 71%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kayserispor
3 : 4 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 25%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Cercle Brugge
3 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
1 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France
Reims
1 : 0 FT
Le Havre
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 1 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
2 : 1 FT
Lille
Win 29%
Draw 36%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 59%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
1 : 0 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
4 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
3 : 2 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 0 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Köln
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#16 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
3 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 61%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor
0 : 0 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
1 : 1 FT
Marseille
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
4 : 1 FT
Khorfakkan
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#20 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
0 : 3 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 20 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Nice vs Lens at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.