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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 3 December 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 3 December 2023. Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo sits top on 59% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 40%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 69% Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
1 : 0 FT
Fluminense
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
2 : 0 FT
Rennes
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
4 : 3 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
0 : 0 FT
Alaves
Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
1 : 3 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
0 : 2 FT
Union Espanola
Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 63%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
2 : 1 FT
Cuiaba
Win 28%
Draw 34%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France
Le Havre
0 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 18%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
2 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 15%
Draw 28%
Win 58%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
1 : 2 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 21%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
2 : 0 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
3 : 3 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Krasnodar
2 : 1 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
4 : 0 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
1 : 0 FT
Vasco DA Gama
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Vienna
0 : 0 FT
Lask Linz
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy
Brescia
3 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#19 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
4 : 1 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#20 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
2 : 1 FT
Incheon United
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 3 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.