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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 23 September 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 23 September 2023. Baník Ostrava vs Zlin led the list at 55% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 43%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the clean sheet market — 20%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
5 : 1 FT
Zlin
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 64% Baník Ostrava Clean Sheet 55%
#2 League One Β· England
Blackpool
4 : 1 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 69% Blackpool Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
1 : 5 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 43%
Draw 36%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
2 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
0 : 0 FT
Lecco
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 League One Β· England
Northampton
1 : 2 FT
Barnsley
Win 20%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
2 : 1 FT
FC Sochi
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 20%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
2 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
3 : 1 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#10 League Two Β· England
Grimsby
2 : 3 FT
Crawley Town
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#11 League Two Β· England
Doncaster
2 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
0 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
2 : 1 FT
Quevilly
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
1 : 1 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
3 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy
Spezia
1 : 2 FT
Reggiana
Win 27%
Draw 37%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy
Cremonese
2 : 2 FT
Ascoli
Win 35%
βœ“ Draw 36%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
1 : 2 FT
Galatasaray
Win 17%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 57%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Ternana
1 : 1 FT
Sudtirol
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#20 League One Β· England
Cheltenham
0 : 3 FT
Stevenage
Win 23%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 23 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Baník Ostrava vs Zlin at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.