Clean Sheet Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Thursday 21 September 2023
Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.
The model shortlists ten fixtures on Thursday 21 September 2023. Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza EC sits top on 47% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 18%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Pro League supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the clean sheet market — 20%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Serie A · Brazil
Serie A · Brazil
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Serie A · Brazil
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Serie A · Brazil
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Showing top 10 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Clean Sheet — common questions
What does the Clean Sheet market mean?
Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 21 September 2023?
ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza EC at 47% clean-sheet probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.